Apple’s iPhone Sales Just Fell for the First Time—It Won’t Be the LastJoe Raedle/Getty ImagesIt was boundto happen at some point.For the first time sinceApplelaunched its flagship smartphone in 2007, the company sold feweriPhonesthan it did in the same quarter the previous year. Sales dropped 16 percent in thefirst quarter of the year—and an even more dramatic 32 percent from the last quarter of 2015. The world’s most valuable company still moved 51 million smartphones, more than anyone not named Samsung can boast. But that doesn’t soften the impact of a product that’snever gone any direction but up finally taking a dive. In fact, the iPhone’s so critical to Apple’s balance sheet that its fall led to a 13 percent drop in the company’s revenue.In the company’s earnings announcement, Apple CEO Tim Cook attributed the decline to “strong macroeconomic headwinds,” citing unfavorable currency exchange rates and a grim global economic outlook. But behind the corporate-speak, it’s worth examining what’s really happening—and how worried Apple should be about the future.For now, Cook strikes an upbeat note. “We see a business that is healthy and strong,” he said of the iPhone during an earnings call Tuesday. He argues that iPhone upgrades are strong, customers are loyal, Apple continues attracting Android users at a high rate, and there’splenty of growth to tap in emerging markets. All of which is fair, but belies the reality of a very down quarter.You don’t need to be anEconomistsubscriber to know the global economyhas been in rough shape.Every week seems to introduce a new pocket of uncertainty, whether it’s China’s plummeting stock market or apower crisis in Venezuela. For acompany that depends upon international reach—especially one selling premium products—any turmoil impacts the bottom line.As a US company, Apple’s exchange rate woes are also real. The dollar has been strong—up 20 percent in the last two years or so against other major currencies—which effectively makes US exports more expensive in foreign markets. Shelling out for a pricey iPhone is a big ask for many parts of the world under ideal conditions; inflating that cost could do even more to make people opt for a cheaper phone, or even inspire them to (shudder!) keep their iPhone 5S a little longer.
